jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 months agoHistorian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comexternal-linkmessage-square91fedilinkarrow-up1366arrow-down146file-text
arrow-up1320arrow-down1external-linkHistorian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comjeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 months agomessage-square91fedilinkfile-text
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5·2 months agoThis system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down2·2 months agoSeems to me that the model has some blind spots.
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5arrow-down1·2 months agoIt does what it means to do.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down3·2 months agoUntil it doesn’t. Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.
This system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
Seems to me that the model has some blind spots.
It does what it means to do.
Until it doesn’t.
Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.