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Cake day: September 27th, 2023

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  • Even without looking at any specific policy you could make this statement with high certainty of accuracy. Democratic presidents have significantly higher job creation, GDP growth, and larger decreases in unemployment. Real household income gains are higher under Democrat presidents. Republicans have had 9 of the last 10 recessions start under their leadership, only one being under Carter. The deficit grows by larger margins under republican presidents. The stock market gains more under democrats presidents. The only metric in which Republicans do better on is inflation.

    Then looking at the specifics of policy proposals we would see trump would destroy the only factor in which the republicans lead on with massive tarrifs, isolationism, and expansions of trade wars.








  • In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.

    If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.







  • It really feels like they developed a revenue stream prior to developing a product. All we’ve heard is some “Ai features” would be a subscription service, but their software has been preety universally mid at best, and AI is starting to see some backlash. We are seeing companies try to cram AI into everything even when it has no purpose being there. I get the feeling that companies are starting to catch onto this AI investments have become ridiculously expensive and have provided nearly zero additional value to their products and services.


  • One thing to note is pac money is less efficient than campaign money. Campaigns get the lowest rate for advertisements while pacs pay market rate. Super pacs technically can’t coordinate with campaigns so there isn’t a unified message, however the FEC is pretty toothless so any coordination would likely have to be very blatant for action to be taken. Their advertisements can also be overly biased by their ultra wealthy donors, ie something that musk cares about a lot may not have significant sway on the public which can cause said ad to be wasted.